
If you want a more unique way to participate on UFC matches, then it's time to try UFC prediction markets. For the best experience, you need to find reliable platforms, and we'll show you how.
UFC event contracts are easy to trade, and in this guide, we'll give you a quick explanation of how they work. You'll find tips on picking the right prediction market site, so you don't get frustrated before it gets good. We'll also recommend some excellent prediction market platforms with decent bonuses and services to visit, so stick around.
In simple terms, a prediction market is a platform that allows you to predict the likelihood of an event occurring and purchase contracts on it. The prediction markets typically operate as peer-to-peer (P2P) sites, meaning you're trading against other individuals.
A UFC prediction market is any site that allows you to trade UFC contracts. Most operators that offer sports prediction markets will have UFC as a submarket. So, sites that rank among the best NBA prediction markets will typically have UFC prediction services.
Prediction markets work by allowing traders to buy and sell event contracts. An event refers to a specific outcome that may or may not occur in the future. This event may be picked from various markets, such as sports, elections, cryptocurrencies, finance, or tech.
To trade an event, you need to purchase a Yes or a No contract. You purchase a Yes contract if you feel that an event will occur. If your prediction indicates that an event is unlikely to occur, you purchase a No contract.
Each contract has a specific price that varies with traders' sentiment. When traders feel an event has a high chance to occur, the price of Yes contracts go up. However, if most traders believe the event will not occur, No contracts increase in price. These prices also represent the probability of the event occurring. So, if you find a Yes contract worth $0.80, then there is an 80% chance that the event will occur.
You receive the potential profits from a prediction market when a market settles. The market settles if the duration set for the specific market has elapsed or the event has occurred. For instance, you might find a UFC prediction market event that states that Max Holloway will win a fight against Conor McGregor by submission. In this case, the event will settle the moment the fight ends, after which the official outcome will be determined.
If you bought a Yes contract for the event, you only receive a potential payout if Holloway wins by submission. A win by KO doesn't count. However, you also lose your trade if he loses the match.
Each contract on a prediction market is priced from $0.01 to $0.99. So, if your contract wins, you get $1 as a potential payout. If it loses, your contract value becomes $0.
Since UFC event contracts have a seemingly low value, traders buy several contracts for the same event. So, you might see an individual purchase 1,000 Yes contracts on the same event.
For a Yes contract priced at $0.80, you get $0.20 in potential profits if the event occurs. However, if you bought 1,000 contracts, you would have $200 in potential profit. Although this makes it much more fun, you must remember that more contracts also mean a higher risk.
When you decide to start trading UFC event contracts, you must do so on a reputable site. There are several things to consider when picking a site to visit, and these are some of the most important:
Of course, any prediction market platform you select must give you access to UFC markets. Most top sites have the UFC markets within their sports section, so you can check here. The best websites are usually designed with a filter or search bar, which makes this process even faster.
UFC prediction market sites charge fees for connecting you to other traders. You may need to pay these fees when you purchase or settle a contract on the site. Some operators also allow you to exit a trade early, but this comes at a fee. Confirming the fees you might incur on a site is an important step to take before setting up an account. On some sites, the fees are fixed, while others charge a percentage of the contract price.
Prediction markets operate under strict regulatory guidelines. The best soccer prediction market sites usually follow guidelines set by the Commodity and Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). The CFTC is responsible for consumer protection, so it's crucial that you only stick to sites that comply with their directives.
The payment options available to you vary depending on the prediction market platform you visit. Some operators are fiat-only options, while others combine fiat and crypto payment options. So, you should confirm that an operator offers the option you prefer before going ahead to register.
As we've mentioned, prediction markets are P2P sites, so it's possible for some individuals, or whales, to cause significant price movements. To avoid being affected by this, it's important that you visit a site with deep liquidity on UFC prediction markets. If a site has deep liquidity, the market prices don't react massively to trades. One way a prediction market can ensure deep liquidity is by offering incentives to market makers. These market makers are crucial to ensuring market stability. While doing so, they still get to make profits from the spreads, so it's a win-win for all parties.
We've tried several sites for their UFC prediction markets, and we've found a few that stand out. The good news is that these sites also double as the best WWE prediction market sites. So, if you're a huge fan of combat sports and WWE, you can check out these platforms:
| Prediction market site | Welcome bonus |
|---|---|
| Kalshi | $10 trading credit |
| Polymarket | Deposit $20 to get $50 |
| Crypto.com | Up to $50 free |
Kalshi is one of the most trusted prediction market sites that you can visit right now. The site offers an excellent selection of UFC events that you can trade, with many of these extending beyond the basic moneyline-type trades. Kalshi offers downloadable mobile trading apps, and its fees are among the lowest available.
You can also visit Kalshi if you're searching for the best Formula 1 prediction sites. Beyond sports, Kalshi offers contracts in politics, crypto, finance, tech, and culture. This allows you to try other markets without having to find a new operator. New Kalshi members receive a $10 welcome bonus in trading credits, and a referral bonus is also available.
Another top operator for UFC markets is Polymarket. The operator is at the top, right there with Kalshi, and it has several features to stand out. One of these is its Combos, which allow you to combine multiple selections into one position. You'll also find liquidity rewards and maker rebate programs, which are crucial for providing deep liquidity.
The Polymarket UFC section is always up to date with the latest fight, and the prices of the contracts are great. You'll get one of the top welcome bonuses at Polymarket, which requires you to get $20 to get $50 in trading bonus.
Crypto.com's crypto-based design makes it one of the best options for crypto prediction markets. However, you'll still have the option to trade UFC prediction markets, so there is no need for worry here. You'll find various UFC events to trade on, and you can start the journey with less than $1.
Setting up an account at Crypto can get you up to $50 in trading bonus, but you'll need to meet certain requirements. When you're not trading sports markets, Crypto.com lets you trade financial, economic, and election markets. You can download the mobile app to access the site, but note that Crypto.com uses a subscription model for certain features and benefits.
Sponsored by Crypto.com – Not investment advice. Trading prediction markets and crypto involves risk, including potential loss of your stake. Consider your risk tolerance before participating. Crypto.com connects U.S. users to CDNA (regulated by CFTC) for derivatives trading. CDNA membership required. Trading may not be suitable for all—you could lose your entire investment plus fees. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results. This is not a solicitation or recommendation to trade.
UFC prediction markets are quite popular since they give you an option to put your UFC knowledge to good use. These prediction markets let you trade contracts, and with CFTC regulation, the experience is much safer, even for beginners. Prediction markets are available across the US, but sports markets, such as UFC, are usually restricted to some specific states.
You can visit any of the prediction market platforms we recommend in this guide to get used to how they operate. You can register using our links, and you'll also be eligible for bonuses to start trading with.
Yes, there are several reasons that also differentiate prediction market sites from sports betting apps. On prediction market sites, you're trading event contracts. Plus, the platforms are peer-to-peer, which means you're trading directly with another individual, and not against the house. So, instead of having to deal with fixed odds, the prices of contracts in a prediction market fluctuate based on how traders feel about an event.
Yes, to leave a trade early, you just need to sell every contract you hold before the event settles. If the price of the contracts has gone up since the time you bought, you also get the potential profit. However, many UFC prediction market sites have an early payout fee, which might be a fixed amount or based on the contract price.
This depends on the operator you visit. At Kalshi, you must be 18 or older to set up an account and use the prediction market service. When you visit any prediction market site, you can go through the site to find the minimum age requirement. It's important you don't try to sign up if you're underage, as there will be an identity verification to confirm your details.
Yes, you can trade UFC event contracts on a mobile device. The best UFC prediction market sites usually have mobile apps for iOS and Android, in addition to their mobile websites. It's up to you to decide what mobile trading option is best for your trading style.