Best Super Bowl Prediction Market Sites in 2026

Quick facts about Super Bowl prediction markets

• Prediction market sites offer Yes or No event contracts on the Super Bowl.
• The platforms are regulated by the CFTC in the United States.
• Kalshi, Polymarket, and Crypto.com are the best Super Bowl prediction sites,

What are Super Bowl prediction market sites?

Simply put, Super Bowl prediction market sites are platforms that let you trade on the outcomes of The Big Game. To trade, you buy Yes or No event contracts.

In our reviews, we always found contracts priced between $0.01 and $0.99. Each one represents a specific result, such as which team will win the game, the spread, or over/under. The prediction markets follow a peer-to-peer (P2P) model, so contract prices fluctuate based on supply and demand.

If your Super Bowl prediction is correct, each successful contract pays $1. However, if the prediction you backed didn’t happen, the contract settles at $0. You can wait until the end of the football game for settlement or close your position early by selling. At the best NFL prediction market sites in general, this payout pattern also applies.

Are prediction markets for the Super Bowl available in the US?

It depends on which state you reside. At the federal level, Super Bowl prediction markets are considered legal. That’s because the sites are regulated by the CFTC, which authorizes them to offer event contracts.

Since prediction market platforms are for trading, CFTC approval permits them to operate in many states. That said, some state exclusions still apply. Therefore, before joining a prediction market app to trade Super Bowl event contracts, first confirm that it’s available in your location.

The best Super Bowl prediction market sites

Given its popularity, the Super Bowl is always present on prediction market platforms with sports event contracts. After our tests, these are the top three we recommend:

Kalshi – Best for game results

Kalshi: Pros and Cons

• Regulated by the CFTC and has federal oversight
• Deepest markets and contract selections
• User-friendly website (PC and mobile)

• Legal scrutiny exists in certain US states
• Customer support can be slow during high traffic periods

On Kalshi, you can buy and sell event contracts on the Super Bowl game results, including moneyline, spreads, and totals. Markets open early, and the three outcomes mentioned often have high liquidity, so trades execute relatively quickly.

When you open the Super Bowl game on Kalshi, you’ll see Yes contracts in green and No in red. We appreciate the contrast because it makes the outcomes easy to differentiate. Plus, Kalshi lets you sort the price movements over the past day, week, month, or all time.

During our Kalshi review, we confirmed that the trading fees per Super Bowl event contract are between $0.01 and $0.02. That’s on the low side, and the costs are even smaller if you buy more than 100 contracts at a time.

Polymarket – Ideal for combos

Polymarket: Pros and Cons

• Hundreds of crypto and network deposit routes
• Extensive help documentation
• User-friendly web platform and mobile apps

• Only 10 active video games markets

We pick Polymarket if you prefer Super Bowl event contract combos. For context, combos let you combine multiple outcomes in the game into one trade. As an example, you can predict a team to win, +3 spread, and over 48.5 points in a combo. All predictions must be correct for the contract to pay out.

Polymarket gets our recommendation because it features pre-made combos. Just select the Super Bowl game on the app, and you’ll see multiple combo picks to choose from and trade with one tap. We also rate Polymarket as one of the best soccer prediction market sites because it offers similar curated combos for the sport.

In the US, Polymarket is only available via the iOS app. You can’t trade on the website, and the Android app isn’t out yet, though our review confirms that it’s under development.

Crypto.com – Suitable for futures

Crypto.com: Pros and Cons

• Low trading fees
• Wide range of prediction markets, including sports
• Simple Yes/No outcomes
• User-friendly app

• No welcome bonus for prediction trading

Crypto.com works if you want to predict the winner of the Super Bowl long before the game itself. On the app, you can trade event contracts on futures for the Pro Football Champion even before the season starts. From what we saw, Crypto.com covers all 32 competing teams, and the main contenders for the Vince Lombardi Trophy are listed first.

For each team, you have Yes or No options with a transparent probability of the market reading of the chance to win. That way, you can easily tell which team the majority of traders are backing. Crypto.com uses a dark theme by default, but the event contracts have distinct blue and red colors for quick identification.

If you pick Crypto.com, you can only trade Super Bowl event contracts if you’re in an eligible state. Based on our review, the site excludes MA, MD, MI, NV, NY, and OH.

Sponsored by Crypto.com – Not investment advice. Trading prediction markets and crypto involves risk, including potential loss of your stake. Consider your risk tolerance before participating. Crypto.com connects U.S. users to CDNA (regulated by CFTC) for derivatives trading. CDNA membership required. Trading may not be suitable for all—you could lose your entire investment plus fees. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results. This is not a solicitation or recommendation to trade. 

How we rate the best Super Bowl prediction market sites

In our analysis, these are the factors we considered when ranking the top Super Bowl prediction market platforms:

Regulations

The first part of our review is to confirm that the prediction market brand is duly registered and regulated by the CFTC. If it’s not, then the site isn’t legal in the US, and we can’t recommend it. Regulated prediction market sites clearly disclose their CFTC compliance in their footer area and terms and conditions.

Market coverage

If you want to trade the Super Bowl on prediction markets, it’s best when you have multiple outcomes to choose from. That’s what this factor is all about. We assess each potential site to confirm that they offer the following markets:

When rating the best NBA prediction market sites, we also pay attention to the above markets for who’ll lift the Larry O'Brien Trophy.

Liquidity and spreads

As experts, we understand that P2P trading markets depend on liquidity. The more active traders there are for a specific event like the Super Bowl, the higher the liquidity. In such situations, your orders are executed faster with minimal spread.

However, if there are few traders, you’ll witness low liquidity. That’ll lead to higher spreads because of the difference between bid-ask prices, such that you can’t even sell your contracts sometimes. Therefore, we pick prediction market platforms with a high volume of traders that can add good liquidity.

Payment methods

The payment methods on a prediction market site determine how easy it is to trade. If a platform doesn’t have familiar options, deposits become difficult. This can affect your experience if you need to fund your account quickly to trade on live Super Bowl prediction markets. So, in our testing, we confirm that the deposit options are convenient with accommodating limits.

For payouts, we focus more on the processing time. Our benchmark is under 24 hours for e-wallets and cryptocurrencies where available, but bank transfers can take up to five business days.

Mobile apps

Our review process involves analyzing the usability of each prediction market brand, and we prioritize their mobile apps. You’ll most likely trade Super Bowl event contracts using your smartphone or tablet.

We score prediction market apps based on their responsiveness, speed, and interface design. Platforms with modern features such as dark/light mode, biometric login, and push notifications receive higher ratings.

Customer service

Quality customer service is critical, especially if you’re new to prediction markets. As such, we spend time testing the support team of each site on our list.

The primary feature we expect to see is 24/7 live chat, so you can receive assistance in real time. It’s okay for the chat to feature a bot, but a real support representative should be on standby to take over once requested.

Other customer service channels we check for include email and phone, although the latter is relatively scarce. If a Super Bowl prediction market app has a comprehensive help center or knowledge base, it’s an added advantage.

Tips for trading on prediction market sites for the Super Bowl

Prediction markets involve real money trades, so it’s important to trade strategically for a big event like the Super Bowl. We came up with these tips to assist you:

Pros and cons of Super Bowl prediction markets

Before trading Super Bowl outcomes on prediction market apps, take note of these pros and cons:

Pros and Cons

• Transparent P2P market with CFTC oversight
• Moneyline, spread, and total markets
• Futures and player prop options

• Some markets may have low liquidity

Trade Super Bowl event contracts on top prediction markets

At this point, we’re sure you now know the best Super Bowl prediction market sites in the US. If you want to trade event contracts for The Big Game, pick one of Kalshi, Polymarket, or Crypto.com. You buy and sell event contracts in a P2P format, and there are no fixed odds.

The overall best Super Bowl prediction market site depends on which is available in your state and your preferences. Once you decide, tap the links on this page to visit the site and sign up.

Our top sports prediction market platforms

Super Bowl prediction markets FAQs