
The League of Legends Worlds is starting on October 15th of this year, which means there’s plenty of new wagering opportunities for a player to enjoy. While esports betting sites are providing some excellent betting opportunities, we believe the prediction markets showcase some of the best opportunities for wagering right now.
That’s not all though. Riot has returned with its classic Pick’Ems and Crystal Ball games, where players can enter and try to pick different results of what will happen in the Worlds tournament this year. The Picks officially open on October 10th, so you can get stuck right :in to some great wagering opportunities. In this guide, we’ll cover every pick and prediction market method you can use to place wagers, and why there are some great opportunities available to the player.
The Riot Pick’Ems are essentially a form of Pick’em fantasy football, without the drafts and focused more on the outright outcome. Fans have the opportunity to predict tournament outcomes for rewards and bragging rights, rather than for trading money.
How it works is once you sign up, you have several days to pick the winners of each game before the deadline. Once your picks are locked in, normally the day of the games, you cannot change them. Then, you will gain points based on how many corrections you got right. The Pick’Ems then open up for the subsequent round, and the process restarts for each following round. The final picks close up the day of the Grand Final, and the scores are tallied up once the tournament ends.

Follow the 2026 LOL Worlds now and submit your picks
| Date | Event |
|---|---|
| October 10th | Crystal Ball + Play-in predictions open |
| October 15th | Play-In picks lock |
| October 18th | Swiss picks open |
| October 23rd | Swiss picks lock |
| October 31st | Knockout picks open |
| November 3rd | Knockout picks lock |
| November 14th | Scores are finalised after the final |
It’s a fun way to follow the Worlds tournament, and while there’s no cash prize for being right, you do get the bragging rights and get declared as a ‘champion’ officially by Riot if all your scores were correct.
Before we cover how the prediction markets work with Worlds 2026, let’s break down exactly what they are. Unlike betting markets, where you place a wager on an outcome and get rewarded if your wager is successful, prediction markets correspond to contracts and outcomes.
The contracts are based on the markets implied probability: so, let’s take the Polymarket favorite to win the LoL Worlds 2026, Gen.G. They have an implied probability of 35% that they will, so that means a team trades around 35 cents in a winner market.
Think of a trading market, like a stock market, except based around the outcomes of real time events, and in this case, eSports. Prediction markets have grown more and more popular in recent times when it comes to esports, as we cover in more detail in our esports prediction markets review. However, with prediction markets, you are essentially buying shares based on the probability of this event happening.

Polymarket is one of the leading prediction markets, so they have definitely got their finger on the pulse when it comes to the market right now, and what the market is saying about what will happen on the LoL Worlds 2026. Here’s an insight into what the market says right now about the Worlds 2026:
| Team | Current implied probabality |
|---|---|
| Gen.G | 33% |
| Bilibili Gaming | 18% |
| Hanwha Life Esports | 18% |
| T1 | 15% |
The exact market predictions are always shifting and changing based on what's happening, but that is how it falls right now: Gen.G are the current market favorite, by quite a large margin. We cover why this is the case in our Worlds 2026 Favorites and Contenders guide, but it is because they have dominated every major tournament they are in right now, including beating other Korean favorites Hanwha Life. BLG are the second market favorite right now, despite being ranked number 3 in the Riot rankings.
League of Legends has plenty of great leagues across several different regions. Korea, China, US, South America, Europe, among others. All of these regions have strong teams and players, but you may be asking: what region is predicted to win Worlds? Well, the prediction markets in regards to that are a lot more cut and dry.
Polymarket and Kalshi both currently have:
| Region | Probability |
|---|---|
| LCK (Korea) | 69% |
| LPL (China) | 25% |
| LEC (Europe) | 6% |
This is consistent with the market of individual teams. If you take a look at the individual outright rankings, or even the Riot rankings themselves, the common denominator out of four out of the top five teams is that they are based in Korea. Gen.g, Hanwha Life, T1 are all Korean teams that are infamously strong, so it comes as no surprise that the Korean region is the overwhelming favorite.
China coming in second is also no surprise, given how the only non-Korean team in the Riot top 5 is BPL, which are Chinese and dominated their region single handedly. Every other region is behind these two regions by a distance, but again, the rankings and performance reflect that, so the prediction markets are completely accurate there. We speak on this in detail in our video games prediction markets review, but most of the time, when there’s large margins in the market it usually shows it’s not a very competitive market to buy shares in.

Kalshi is another prediction markets platform that is as popular as Polymarket but offers an alternative view and shares for popular markets such as Worlds markets. The Kalshi markets in regards to Worlds are quite similar with outright winners, but the shares are slightly different. Our table below covers what you need to know:
| Team | Current implied probabality |
|---|---|
| Gen.G | 32% |
| T1 | 20% |
| Bilibili Gaming | 15% |
| Hanwha Life Esports | 15% |
Interestingly enough, the key difference between the Kalshi and Polymarket predictions is that Kalshi has T1 winning the Worlds at higher odds than Bilibili, at 20%, while Bilibili is currently tied with Hanwha at 15%. T1 had not had a great year, they had not won any major tournaments in fact, but they have a record of winning seven Worlds tournaments in the past. Kalshi has clearly taken this into account when determining the market share. The one factor that Kalshi and Polymarket certainly have in common though: Gen.G as the overwhelming favorite. To learn more about how this platform differs from Polymarket, check out our Kalshi review.
Based on all the market choices above, you may be asking: well, what do the experts think? Well, we’ve put together a table below, based on the Riot rankings, and both Polymarket and Kalshi’s current outright markets, that determines our favorites and what teams are worth picking in this years Worlds.
| Category | Pick |
|---|---|
| Leading favorite | Gen.G |
| LPL team to watch | Bilibili Gaming |
| LCK challenger | Hanwha Life Esports |
| Tournament wildcard | T1 |
| Western Contender | G2 Esports |

Our favorites: Gen. G for the 2026 League of Legends World Championship
So, there you have it. There are plenty of options for players if you want to play some predictions or pick’em games. It’s important you know that each type of game is completely different though. Pick'Ems are just for fun: the bragging rights to say you predicted everything successfully. Buying shares in prediction markets, like Kalshi and Polymarket, are based on the live crowd expectations and what the market share is.
These current probabilities are always prone to change, but as of now, they seem pretty accurate. All the same, we’d recommend keeping up with us here at Strafe.com, as we continue to provide updates and guides for the Worlds 2026 tournament.